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Cyclone Niklas was the third intense cyclone over the last days in March, associated with a negative phase of NAO. The figures below show short forecasts (12h) of MSLP and precipitation. Niklas passed over northern Germany around 12z on 31 March.

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titleMSLP and precipitation (12h forecasts)

The plot below show 24-hour maximum winds on the 31 March. Observations of more than 25 m/s in the gusts over land spread from Ireland to Poland.


3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

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