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The plots below show 72-hour precipitation in AIFS-ENS (diffusion model with 1 degree resolution) member 1 with different lead times.
The plots below show 72-hour precipitation in AIFS-CRPS-ENS (0.25 degree resolution) member 1 with different lead times.
Step 0 missing.
3.3 ENS
The plots below shows EFI for 3-day precipitation (13-15 September).
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The plot below shows the evolution plot for 3-day precipitation in a large box (48-51N, 14-18E, see attached observation plot below).
(Need to regenerate the plot, but should be in the Newsletter.)
The plot below shows the same evolution plot for 3-day accumulation as above but with the AIFS-CRPS ensemble in pink.
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