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EFI (based on IFS 9-km ensemble)
Forecast Evolution plot
Legend:
Observation - green hourglass
Analysis - green dot
ENS CF - red dot
AIFS-single - cyan dot
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3.4 Sub-seasonal forecasts
The plots below show ensemble mean weekly average of 2-metre temperature 30 June - 6 July in forecasts from different initial dates (all Mondays).
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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6.1 Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Jump in predictions between forecasts from 25 12UTC and 26 June 12UTC.
6.2 Experience from general performance/other cases
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