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Discussed in the following Daily reports:

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Page from Rebecca: June 2025


1. Overview

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  The plots below show ensemble mean weekly average of 2-metre temperature 30 June - 6 July in forecasts from different initial dates (all Mondays).

Also the week-3 forecast captured the structure of the anomalies over Europe. Longer ranges also included a warm anomaly south-western to Central Europe, but the question is how much that is due two the global warming signal when we compare to the 20-year reforecast period.

3.5 Comparison with other centres

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  • Exceptional signal in AIFS-single
  • Some signal in the sub-seasonal range

6.2 Experience from general performance/other cases

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