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The plots below show the EFI for 3-day temperature 15-17 July.
Forecast Evolution plot
The plot below shows the forecast evolution for 2-day mean temperature around Kvikkjokk. One can note that AIFS-ENS started to pick up the signal for the heatwave 1-2 days earlier than IFS-ENS.
Observation - green hourglass
Analysis - green dot
ENS CF - red dot
DestinE - dark green
AIFS-single - cyan dot
ENS distribution - blue
AIFS-ENS distribution - pink
ENS m-climate - cyan
ENS m-climate maximum - black triangle
3.4 Sub-seasonal forecasts
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6.1 Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Week-3 signal for Scandinavian blocking pattern
- Good early prediction of the heatwave 10 days before, especially from AIFS-ENS
6.2 Experience from general performance/other cases
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