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AIFS-CRPS ensemble (~0.25 degree resolution)
Below 24-h precipitation accumulated in the British Islands on the 4th August 2025 at different lead times with the ENS control (oper) and DestinE. 36-h maximum wind gusts in the operational 9 km forecast and DestinE at different lead times.
Below visible satellite simulated image from IFS oper and DestinE 4 km from forecast run 4 and 5 August 2025 00 UTC and valid at T+12h. Eumetsat 12 sat image valid at the same time.
3.3 Ensemble distribution
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Below we have the ensemble stamps for MSLP for ENS control and ensemble members. Valid at 4 August 2025 12 UTC and T+36, T+84h and T+132, for ENS control and IFS ensemble members and AIFS single and AIFS-CRPS
3.4 Sub-seasonal forecasts
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MSLP errors (FC-AN) on the 4 August 2025 00 UTC forecast run valid at T+36h, T+84h and T+132h for various forecast models. 
500 hPa geopotential errors (FC-AN) on the 4 August 2025 00 UTC forecast run valid at T+72h and T+120h for various forecast models.
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