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The plots below show the EFI and SOT for rainfall valid 14-16 May; the period when flash floods took place in Sri Lanka.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plot below shows the verification of precipitation anomaly for 16 May to 22 May.
The plots below show the MJO forecasts:
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Shift from west-coast to east-coast around 16 May.