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2. Description of the event

The sequence below show 12-hour precipitation forecasts and MSLP ranging from 18-25 November.

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3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

The plots below show the analysis of z500 and t850 for 24 November 12z (left) and the forecast from 6.5 days before (right).

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The plots below show 24-hour precipitation for 24 November 06z to 25 November 06z from HRES.

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3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI and SOT for precipitation valid 24 November.

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3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show weekly precipitation anomalies for 21-27 November.

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3.5 Comparison with other centres

3.6 EFAS

Flash flood warnings on 24 November:

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Flood warnings in forecast from 25 November:

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4. Experience from general performance/other cases

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