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The plots below show CAPE/SHEAR EFI valid for 11 August.
The plot below shows the test product for convection risk from Ivan.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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4. Experience from general performance/other cases
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Early detection of the risk from the CAPE/SHEAR EFI
- Clear miss in the convective wind gusts also in the short range (model deficiency), captured by limited-area models.