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The plot below shows the z500 and t850 analysis from 10 September 00z.

The map below shows the 24-hour accumulations from the local raingauges network around Livorno:

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3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

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The plot below shows the evolution of the ensemble and HRES for 24-hour precipitation in Livorno 9 September 12z to 10 September 12z. The observed precipitation was around 150 mm.

The plot below shows the point-rainfall experimental product for the 98th percentile of the precipitation:

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3.4 Monthly forecasts

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