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Discussed in the following Daily reports:

2017-10-10

2017-10-12

2017-10-13

2017-10-16

2017-10-17

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1. Impact

On 9 October the extra-tropical extension of the tropical cyclone Ophelia hit south-western Ireland. The 10-minute mean wind reached of 31 m/s at Roches Point, off Cork, and gusts of up to 43 m/s over land. 3 people were killed by the storm.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/storm-ophelia-record-26m-wave-at-kinsale-gas-platform-off-south-coast-1.3262198?mode=amp

2. Description of the event


3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

The plots below show the 24-hour maximum wind gusts for 16 October and the MSLP valid at 12UTC on 16 October from HRES forecasts. The first plot shows observations of 24-hour maximum wind gusts.

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3.3 ENS


The plots below show the tropical cyclone product for Ophelia.

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