Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, ...Rebecca
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Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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1. Impact
During March, April and May 2022 north-western India and Pakistan experienced much higher temperatures than normal. For example, during the second week of May several stations reached 50C.
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The plot below shows the the-series for 12UTC temperatures for Jacobabad in Pakistan for 2021 (grey) and so far in 2022 (red). Daily values as thin lines, 7-days running mean as thick lines and ERA5 daily climatology as dashed lines. Since mid-March 2022 to mid-May the city experienced a more or less continuous heatwave.
The plots below shows the climatological (ERA5 1991-2020) mean (left) and max (right) UTCI for May. Anything over 26 indicates some heat stress, and >46 is extreme heat stress.
The animation below shows the daily max (from hourly ERA5 data) UTCI for each day from 1st March 2022 to 19th May 2022:
The plots below show the difference between the ERA5 mean UTCI for April 2022 and the ERA5 climatological mean UTCI for April (1991-2020) (left), and the difference between the ERA5 max UTCI for April 2022, and the 75th percentile of climatology (right)
The animation below shows the difference between the ERA5 daily mean UTCI and the ERA5 climatological mean UTCI (1991-2020, based on monthly means for the respective month), for each day from 1st March to 19th May 2022:
3. Predictability
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