Status:Ongoing analysis Material Status: Finalised Material from: Linus
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Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
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1. Impact
During the beginning of February large part of south-eastern Australia was hit by a heat wave.
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3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plot below shows the 2-metre temperature for stations around Sydney and HRES forecasts from 9 and 10 February 00z. The forecast from 9 February missed the peak in the temperature on 10 February.
3.3 ENS
The figure below shows the evolution of 2-metre temperature on 10 February (24-hour mean) from ENS (blue bar-and-whisker) and HRES (red dot).
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plot below shows the analysis (top-left) and forecasts of 2-metre temperature anomalies for 6-12 February.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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4. Experience from general performance/other cases
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
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