Status:Ongoing analysis Material Status: Finalised Material from: Ivan, Esti, Linus
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Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
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2. Description of the event
The plot below shows the situation on 15z on 19 December, with MSLP (contour), T925 (shade) and precipitation type (also shaded). The freezing rain (red) appear in the warm air advection over northern Sweden.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
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The plots below show the metgram product for precipitation type (probabilities of each category of precipitation with different intensities) for Vidsel (65.9N, 20.2E) in northern Sweden. The event was well captured at least 3-4 days in advance with some signal also present 6-7 days in advance.
15 Dec currently missing 
3.4 Monthly forecasts
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4. Experience from general performance/other cases
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
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