Status: Ongoing analysis Material Finalised Material from: Linus, David L., Esti, Hao, Kristian, Mohamed
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Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
1. Impact
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Hurricane Florence made landfall in North Carolina on 14 September as a category 1 hurricane. The cyclone brought torrential rainfall as it became quasi-stationary for a few days. At least 26 people was killed due to the cyclones. |
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-45563634
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The plot below shows the evolution of central pressure in Best Track (dots) and LWDA analysis (solid line). The analysis had difficulties to capture the intense phase on 5 September, but captured the second intensification.
Track of FLORENCE with estimated central pressure
The plots below show time-series observation statistics for temperature observations from dropsondes within 1 (left) and 5 (right) degrees of Florence. Dropsondes wind and surface pressure statistics are plotted in the lower figures.
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4. Experience from general performance/other cases
5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Issues with mid-Atlantic "knee" and intensification
6. Additional material
Total precipitation observed in 7 days from the hurricane Florence.
Plot of the maximum rainfall caused by North Atlantic and Northeast tropical cyclones and their remnants per state (1950-2018).
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