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 Status:Ongoing analysisFinalised Material from: Tim, Linus

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Discussed in the following Daily reports:


Picture

1. Impact

 

 

 

Excerpt

A blizzard hit the region Annapurna in Nepal around the 14 October, killing at least 39 hikers.

 

 

 

The snapshot from Goggle Map below shows the location.

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The heavy precipitation was mainly due to the aftermaths of the tropical cyclone Hudhud, with which made landfall on the Indian east-coast on the 12 October (see below for track forecast after the landfall). The cyclone formed on the 8 October in the Bay of Bengal.

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3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

The plots below shows the 24-hour precipitation for the 14 October. The hourglass symbol marks the Annapurna district.

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includeLabelhres14
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title24-hour precipitation (14 Oct)

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  • A very good prediction of the extreme event. Probably due the the predictability of the tropical cyclone, which formed 6 days before the snowfall event.


6. Additional material

  • Newsletter article in Winter 2014/2015