Status:Ongoing analysis Material Status: Finalised Material from: Linus
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Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for the operational ECMWF forecasts. The symbols shows the position on 27 Aug 00UTC. HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black).
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plots below show the weekly strike probability for forecasts valid 24-31 August. Note the decrease in strike probably in the forecast from 20 September (second plot) compared to 17 August (third plot).
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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