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The plots below show EFI for 1-day precipitation 9 January, from different initial times.
The plots below show EFI for 1-day IVT 9 January, from different initial times.
The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 24-hour precipitation valid 9 January 00UTC - 10 January 00UTC for the box along the Californian coast outlined above. Concatenated 6-hour forecasts - green dot, HRES –red, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – red box-and-whisker. Ensemble median as black box and ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts.
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
6. Additional material
https://cw3e.ucsd.edu/cw3e-ar-update-10-january-2023-outlook/