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Copied from e-mail on tropical cyclone mailing list from Sebastien Langlade (ask for permissions before making the page public!):

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Here a few items from TC belal over La Reunion:

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FuXi

 ML centres comparison

TC track in ML models

Image Added

Intensity evolution in ML models

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4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

  • Early signal for genesis
  • Left-hand track error until 13 January.
  • Miss for extreme rainfall over Mauritius related to rainbands?

 

6. Additional material