...
The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 48-hour precipitation (15 May 00UTC - 17 May 00UTC) for 0.5 degree box outlined in the plots above. Mean of observations - green hourglass, concatenated 6-hour forecasts - green dot, HRES –red, ENS control - purple, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – red box-and-whisker. Ensemble median as black box and ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts. 48r1 e-suite is included in cyan (ENS distribution).
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plot below shows the weekly anomalies in precipitation (the title of the figure is wrong) for 15-22 May, in analysis and forecasts with different lead times.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
...