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The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for mean temperature around Cordoba, Spain on 14-16 June. Analysis (green circle), HRES (red circle) and ENS (blue box-and-whisker). Model climate (based on 1200 forecasts) in (red box-and-whisker) with the maximum as triangle. The left plot shows the box used for the average and the values from the analysis.




3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show weekly 2-metre temperature anomalies for 13-19 June from different lead times. All forecasts (up to more than a month in advance) predicted a warm anomaly over the Iberian Peninsula.

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3.5 Comparison with other centres

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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

  • Very early signal for Iberian Peninsula
  • The rapid cooling over Biarritz and San Sebastien well captured in the short-range foreacasts

6. Additional material

Satellite and radar images for the galerna event. Hourly images from 06 to 16 hours on Saturday 18 June 2020

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