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In the end the following factors will increase the prognosed forecasted lightning density:

  • Higher CAPE
  • More condensate in the convective updraught (between levels at 0ºC and -25ºC)
    • More snow in the said convective updraught
    • More graupel in the said convective updraught
  • A higher convective cloud base (if less than 1.8km)

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