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The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 48-hour precipitation (15 November 00UTC - 17 November 00UTC)  a 0.25x0.25 box centred on Miami. Mean of observations - green hourglass, Concatenated 6-hour forecasts - green dot, ENS control –red, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate (to be added) – cyan box-and-whisker. Ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1800 forecasts. The observation in Miami was 215 mm and the area mean from NEXRAD was 179 mm.



3.4 Monthly forecasts


3.5 Comparison with other centres

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