TIGGE-related Research Articles
2014(5)
Gray, S. L., Dunning, C., Methven, J., Masato, G. and Chagnon, J.
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Systematic model forecast error in Rossby wave structure. Geophysical
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Res. Lett., 41, doi:10.1002/2014GL059282.
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2013
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http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059282/abstract
Hamill,T.
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Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Russell L. Elsberry, 2013: Detection of Tropical Cyclone Track Changes from the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Geophysics Research Letter, doi: 10.1002/grl.50172
2012
Yamaguchi, M., T. Nakazawa, and S. Hoshino (2012), On the relative benefits of a multi-centre grand ensemble for tropical cyclone track prediction in the western North Pacific. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., doi: 10.1002/qj.1937.
Belanger, James I., Peter J. Webster, Judith A. Curry, Mark T. Jelinek, 2012, Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones, Weather and Forecasting, e-View. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00083.1
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N.Kiladis. Skill of the MJO and Northern Hemisphere Blocking in GEFS Medium-Range Reforecasts. MonthlyWeatherReview, Feb2014, Vol. 142, Issue 2, p868-885. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00199.1
Liu,J.andZ.Xie, 2014: BMA Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting over the Huaihe Basin Using TIGGE Multi-model Ensemble Forecasts. MonthlyWeatherReview; e-View, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00031.1
Magnusson,L.,J-R.Bidlot,S.Lang,A.Thorpe,andN.Wedi, 2014: Evaluation of medium-range forecasts for hurricane Sandy. MonthlyWeatherReview; e-View, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00228.1
Matsueda,M.andT.Nakazawa, 2014: Early warning products for severe weather events derived from operational medium-range ensemble forecasts. MeteorologicalApplications. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.1444/full
2013(21)
Chang,E.K.M.,M.PeñaandZoltanToth, 2013: International Collaboration in High-Impact Weather Prediction. Bull.Amer.Meteor.Soc., 94, ES149–ES151. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/
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Duan, Yihong, Jiandong Gong, Jun Du, Martin Charron, Jing Chen, Guo Deng, Geoff DiMego, Masahiro Hara, Masaru Kunii, Xiaoli Li, Yinglin Li, Kazuo Saito, Hiromu Seko, Yong Wang, Christoph Wittmann, 2012, An Overview of the Beijing 2008 Olympics Research and Development Project (B08RDP), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (3), 381-403. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00115.1
Galarneau, Thomas J., Thomas M. Hamill, Randall M. Dole, Judith Perlwitz, 2012, A Multi-Scale Analysis of the Extreme Weather Events over Western Russia and Northern Pakistan During July 2010, Monthly Weather Review, 140, 1639–1664. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00191.1
Gombos, Daniel, Ross N. Hoffman, James A. Hansen, 2012, Ensemble statistics for diagnosing dynamics: Tropical cyclone track forecast sensitivities revealed by ensemble regression, Monthly Weather Review, e-View. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00002.1
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Chang,E.K.M.,M.Zheng,K.Raeder, 2013: Medium-Range Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis of Two Extreme Pacific Extratropical Cyclones. MonthlyWeatherReview. Jan2013, Vol. 141 Issue 1, p211-231. 21p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00304.1
Demargne,J.,L.Wu,S.Regonda,J.Brown,H.Lee,M.He,D-JSeo,R.Hartman,H.D.Herr,M.Fresch,J.Schaake,andY.Zhu, 2013: The Science of NOAA's Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00081.1
Frame,T.H.A.,J.Methven,S.L.Gray,M.H.P.Ambaum, 2013: Flow-dependent predictability of the North Atlantic jet. GeophysicalResearchLetters, 40, 10, pages 2411–2416, 28 May 2013. DOI: 10.1002/grl.50454. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50454/abstract
Gombos,D.,andR.N.Hoffman, 2013: Ensemble-Based Exigent Analysis. Part I: Estimating Worst-Case Weather-Related Forecast Damage Scenarios. Weather&Forecasting . Jun2013, Vol. 28 Issue 3, p537-556. 20p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00080.1
Hamill,T.M.,G.T.Bates,J.S.Whitaker,D.R.Murray,M.Fiorino,T.J.Galarneau,Y.Zhu,W.Lapenta, 2013: NOAA's Second-Generation Global Medium-Range Ensemble Reforecast Dataset. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety. Oct2013, Vol. 94 Issue 10, p1553-1565. 13p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00014.1
Jayakumar,A.,V.Kumar,TNKrishnamurti, 2013: Lead time for medium range prediction of the dry spell of monsoon using multi-models. JournalofEarthSystemScience, August 2013, Volume 122, Issue 4, pp 991-1004. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12040-013-0321-z#
Kay,J.K.,H.M.Kim,Y-Y.Park,J.Son, 2013: Effect of doubling the ensemble size on the performance of ensemble prediction in the warm season using MOGREPS implemented at the KMA. AdvancesinAtmosphericSciences, September 2013, Volume 30, Issue 5, pp 1287-1302. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-012-2083-y#
Khan,M.,A.ShamseldinandB.Melville, 2013: Impact of Ensemble Size on Forecasting Occurrence of Rainfall using TIGGE Precipitation Forecasts. J. Hydrol. Eng., 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000864 (Jun. 11, 2013). http://ascelibrary.org/doi/abs/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000864
Kuwano-Yoshida,A.,T.Enomoto, 2013: Predictability of Explosive Cyclogenesis over the Northwestern Pacific Region Using Ensemble Reanalysis. MonthlyWeatherReview . Nov2013, Vol. 141 Issue 11, p3769-3785. 17p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00161.1
Li,J.,R.Swinbank,R.DingandW.Duan, 2013: Dynamics and Predictability of High-Impact Weather and Climate Events. Bull.Amer.Meteor.Soc., 94, ES179–ES182. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00213.1
Liu,Y.,Q.Duan,L.Zhao,A.Ye,Y.Tao,C.Miao,X.Mu,J.C.Schaake, 2013: Evaluating the predictive skill of post-processed NCEP GFS ensemble precipitation forecasts in China's Huai river basin. HydrologicalProcesses, Special Issue: Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS), Volume 27, Issue 1, pages 57–74, 1 January 2013DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9496. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hyp.9496/abstract
Marsigli,C.,A.Montani,T.Paccagnella, 2013: Perturbation of initial and boundary conditions for a limited-area ensemble: multi-model versus single-model approach. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, Volume 140, Issue 678, pages 197–208, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2128/full
Matsueda,M.andT.Nakazawa, 2013: New Web-based Forecasting Prototype Tool Early warning products for extreme weather events Derived from operational medium-range ensemble forecasts http://www.wmo.int/pages/publications/meteoworld/archive/jan13/documents/forecast_prototype.pdf
Niu,R.andP.Zhai ,2013: Synoptic verification of medium-extended-range forecasts of the northwest pacific subtropical high and South Asian high based on multi-center TIGGE data. ActaMeteorologicaSinica. October 2013, Volume 27, Issue 5, pp 725-741. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-013-0513-0#
Qian,C.,F.Zhang,B.W.Green,J.Zhang,X.Zhou, 2013: Probabilistic Evaluation of the Dynamics and Prediction of Supertyphoon Megi (2010). Weather&Forecasting . Dec2013, Vol. 28 Issue 6, p1562-1577. 16p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00121.1
Qi,L.,H.Yu,P.Chen, 2013: Selective ensemble-mean technique for tropical cyclone track forecast by using ensemble prediction systems. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety.140: 805–813. doi: 10.1002/qj.2196. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2196/abstract
Tsai,H-C,R.L.Elsberry, 2013: Detection of tropical cyclone track changes from the ECMWF ensemble prediction system. GeophysicalResearchLetters, Volume 40, Issue 4, pages 797–801, 28 February 2013. DOI: 10.1002/grl.50172 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50172/abstract
Wiegand,L.,andP.Knippertz, 2013: Equatorward breaking Rossby waves over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean region in the ECMWF operational Ensemble Prediction System. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, 140, Issue 678, pages 58–71, January 2014 Part A. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2112. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2112/full
Ye,J.,Y.He,F.Pappenberger,H.L.Cloke,D.Y.Manful,Z.Li, 2013: Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins. QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, Early View. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2243. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2243/abstract
Zheng,M.,E.K.M.Chang,B.A.Colle, 2013: Ensemble Sensitivity Tools for Assessing Extratropical Cyclone Intensity and Track Predictability. Weather&Forecasting . Oct2013, Vol. 28 Issue 5, p1133-1156. 24p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00132.1
2012 (19)
Bao,H.,L.Zhao, 2012: Development and application of an atmospheric-hydrologic-hydraulic flood forecasting model driven by TIGGE ensemble forecasts.ActaMeteorologicaSinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 93-102 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0109-0#
Belanger,JamesI.,PeterJ.Webster,JudithA.Curry,MarkT.Jelinek, 2012, Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones,WeatherandForecasting . Jun 2012, Vol. 27 Issue 3, p757-769. 13p.http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00083.1
Duan,M.,J.Ma,P.Wang., 2012: Preliminary comparison of the CMA, ECMWF, NCEP, and JMA ensemble prediction systems. ActaMeteorologicaSinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 26-40. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0103-6#
Duan,Yihong,JiandongGong,JunDu,MartinCharron,JingChen,GuoDeng,GeoffDiMego,MasahiroHara,MasaruKunii,XiaoliLi,YinglinLi,KazuoSaito,HiromuSeko,YongWang,ChristophWittmann, 2012, An Overview of the Beijing 2008 Olympics Research and Development Project (B08RDP),BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety,93 (3), 381-403. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00115.1
Galarneau,ThomasJ.,ThomasM.Hamill,RandallM.Dole,JudithPerlwitz, 2012, A Multi-Scale Analysis of the Extreme Weather Events over Western Russia and Northern Pakistan During July 2010, MonthlyWeatherReview,140,1639–1664. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00191.1
Gombos,Daniel,RossN.Hoffman,JamesA.Hansen, 2012, Ensemble statistics for diagnosing dynamics: Tropical cyclone track forecast sensitivities revealed by ensemble regression, MonthlyWeatherReview,e-View. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00002.1
Hagedorn,R.,Buizza,R.,Hamill,T.M.,Leutbecher,M.andPalmer,T.N., 2012, Comparing TIGGE multimodel forecasts with reforecast-calibrated ECMWF ensemble forecasts. Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc. doi: 10.1002/qj.1895 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.1895/abstract
Hamill,ThomasM., 2012, Verification of TIGGE Multi-model and ECMWF Reforecast-Calibrated Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts over the Contiguous US MonthlyWeatherReview,e-View, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00220.1
Hamill,T.M.,M.J.Brennan,B.Brown,M.DeMaria,E.N.Rappaport,Z.Toth, 2012: NOAA's Future Ensemble-Based Hurricane Forecast Products. BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety. Feb2012, Vol. 93 Issue 2, p209-220. 12p. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2011BAMS3106.1
Kumar,A.,A.K.Mitra,A.K.Bohra,G.R.Iyengar,V.R.Durai, 2012: Multi-model ensemble (MME) prediction of rainfall using neural networks during monsoon season in India. Meteorological Applications, Special Issue: Monsoons – prediction, variability and impact, Volume 19, Issue 2, pages 161–169, June 2012, DOI: 10.1002/met.254 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.254/abstract?deniedAccessCustomisedMessage=&userIsAuthenticated=false
Schumacher,RussS.,ThomasJ.Galarneau,Jr., 2012, Moisture transport into midlatitudes ahead of recurving tropical cyclones and its relevance in two predecessor rain events, MonthlyWeatherReview, e-View. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-11-00307.1
Waliser, Duane E., Mitch Moncrieff, David Burrridge, Andreas H. Fink, Dave Gochis, B. N. Goswami, Bin Guan, Patrick Harr, Julian Heming, Huang-Hsuing Hsu, Christian Jakob, Matt Janiga, Richard Johnson, Sarah Jones, Peter Knippertz, Jose Marengo, Hanh Nguyen, Mick Pope, Yolande Serra, Chris Thorncroft, Matthew Wheeler, Robert Wood, Sandra Yuter, 2012, The “Year” of Tropical Convection (May 2008 to April 2010): Climate Variability and Weather Highlights, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,e-View.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3095.1
Xu,J.,W.Zhang,Z.Zheng,M.Jiao,J.Chen, 2012: Early flood warning for Linyi watershed by the GRAPES/XXT model using TIGGE data. Acta Meteorologica Sinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 103-111. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0110-7#
Yamaguchi,M.,T.Nakazawa,S.Hoshino, 2012: On the relative benefits of a multi-centre grand ensemble for tropical cyclone track prediction in the western North Pacific. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Volume 138, Issue 669, pages 2019–2029, October 2012 Part B. DOI: 10.1002/qj.1937 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.1937/abstract?deniedAccessCustomisedMessage=&userIsAuthenticated=false
Yamaguchi,M.,T.Nakazawa,andK.Aonashi, 2012: Tropical cyclone track forecasts using JMA model with ECMWF and JMA initial conditions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L09801, doi:10.1029/2012GL051473. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012GL051473/abstract
Yang,C.,Z.Yan,Y.Shao, 2012: Probabilistic precipitation forecasting based on ensemble output using generalized additive models and Bayesian model averaging. ActaMeteorologicaSinica. February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 1-12. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0101-8#
Yan,Z.,J.Han,M.Jiao,J.Chen,Q.Ye,L.Zhao,K.Tu, 2012: Formation of an interactive user-oriented forecasting system: Experience from hydrological application in Linyi, Eastern China. ActaMeteorologicaSinica, February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 13-25. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0102-7#
Zhao,L.,Q.Dan,F.Tian,etal., 2012: Probabilistic flood prediction in the upper Huaihe catchment using TIGGE data. ActaMeteorologicaSinica, February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 62-71. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0106-3#
Zhi,X.,H.Qi,Y.Bai,C.Lin, 2012. A comparison of three kinds of multimodel ensemble forecast techniques based on the TIGGE data. ActaMeteorologicaSinica.February 2012, Volume 26, Issue 1, pp 41-51. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-012-0104-5#
2011 (26)
Colle,B.A.,M.E.Charles., 2011: Spatial Distribution and Evolution of Extratropical Cyclone Errors over North America and its Adjacent Oceans in the NCEP Global Forecast System Model. Weather & Forecasting. Apr2011, Vol. 26 Issue 2, p129-149. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222422.1
Cuo,Lan,ThomasC.Pagano,Q.J.Wang, 2011: A Review of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts and Their Use in Short- to Medium-Range Streamflow Forecasting. Journal of ydrometeorology. Volume 12, Issue 5 (October 2011) pp. 713-728 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1347.1
Du,J.,andB.Zhou, 2011: A Dynamical Performance-Ranking Method for Predicting Individual Ensemble Member Performance and Its Application to Ensemble Averaging. Monthly Weather Review. Oct2011, Vol. 139 Issue 10, p3284-3303. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-10-05007.1
Dupont,T.,M.Plu,P.Caroff,G.Faure, 2011: Verification of Ensemble-Based Uncertainty Circles around Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts. Weather & Forecasting, Oct2011, Vol. 26 Issue 5, p664-676. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00007.1
Frame,T.H.A.,M.H.P.Ambaum,S.L.Gray,andJ.Methven, 2011, Ensemble prediction of transitions of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet. Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 137, 1288-1297. doi: 10.1002/qj.829 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.829/abstractdoi: 10.1002/qj.829 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.829/abstract
Froude,L.S.R., 2011: TIGGE: Comparison of the Prediction of Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones by Different Ensemble Prediction Systems. WeatherandForecasting, 26,388-398. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222457.1
Grams,C.M.,Wernli,H.,Bottcher,M.,Campa,J.,Corsmeier,U.,Jones,S.C.,Keller,J.H.,Lenz,C.-J.andWiegand,L., 2011, The key role of diabatic processes in modifying the upper-tropospheric wave guide: a North Atlantic case-study, Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 137, 2174-2193. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.891/abstract
Hamill,T.M.,J.S.Whitaker,M.FiorinoandS.G.Benjamin, 2011, Global Ensemble Predictions of 2009's Tropical Cyclones Initialized with an Ensemble Kalman Filter, MonthlyWeatherReview, 139 (2), 668-688. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3456.1
Han,J.,Q.Ye,Z.Yan,M.Jiao,J.Xia, 2011: Conceptual study on incorporating user information into forecasting systems. FrontiersofEnvironmentalScience&EngineeringinChina, December 2011, Volume 5, Issue 4, pp 533-542 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11783-010-0246-6
Kang,S.-D.,D.W.Shin,S.Cocke,H.-D.Kim,W.-S.Jung, 2011: Comparison of ensemble methods for summer-time numerical weather prediction over East Asia. MeteorologyandAtmosphericPhysics, June 2011, Volume 113, Issue 1-2, pp 27-38 http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00703-011-0148-6
Keller,J.H.,S.C.Jones,J.L.Evans,andP.A.Harr, 2011: Characteristics of the TIGGE multimodel ensemble prediction system in representing forecast variability associated with extratropical transition, Geophys.Res.Lett., 38, L12802. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.
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Keller,J.D.,
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A.Hense,2011: A new non-Gaussian evaluation method for ensemble forecasts based on analysis rank histograms. MeteorologischeZeitschrift, Volume 20, Number 2, April 2011 , pp. 107-117(11) http://umd.library.ingentaconnect.com/content/schweiz/mz/2011/00000020/00000002/art00003
Kim,Sangil,R.M.Samelson,ChrisSnyder, 2011,Toward an Uncertainty Budget for a Coastal Ocean ModelMonthlyWeatherReview,139 (3), 866-884
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Kipling,Zak,CristinaPrimo,AndrewCharlton-Perez, 2011: Spatiotemporal Behavior of the TIGGE Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts*. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2561-2571. doi: 10.
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, Characteristics of Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling guidance for tropical cyclones. Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 137, 503-520. doi: 10.1002/qj.746 http://
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2011: Predictability of Euro-Russian blocking in summer of 2010, Geophys.Res.Lett., 38, L06801. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2010GL046557/abstract
Matsueda,M.,H.Endo, 2011: Verification of medium-range MJO forecasts with TIGGE. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L11801. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.
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Z.Toth,H.L.Tanaka,andT.Tsuyuki, 2011: Predictability of an Atmospheric Blocking Event that Occurred on 15 December 2005, Mon.Wea.Rev., 139, 2455-2470. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3551.1
Mitra,A.K.,GRIyengar,VRDurai,JSanjay,TNKrishnamurti,AMishra,DRSikka, 2011: Experimental real-time multi-model ensemble (MME) prediction of rainfall during monsoon 2008: Large-scale medium-range aspects. Journal of Earth System Science, February 2011, Volume 120, Issue 1, pp 27-52. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12040-011-0013-5
Keller, J. H., S. C. Jones, J. L. Evans, and P. A. Harr, 2011: Characteristics of the TIGGE multimodel ensemble prediction system in representing forecast variability associated with extratropical transition, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L12802, doi:10.1029/2011GL047275
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Schumacher,RussS., 2011, Ensemble-Based Analysis of Factors Leading to the Development of a Multiday Warm-Season Heavy Rain Event,MonthlyWeatherReview,139 (9), 3016-3035.
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Kipling, Zak, Cristina Primo, Andrew Charlton-Perez, 2011: Spatiotemporal Behavior of the TIGGE Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts*. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2561-2571. doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3556.1. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2010MWR3556.1
Majumdar, S. J., Chen, S.-G. and Wu, C.-C., 2011, Characteristics of Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling guidance for tropical cyclones. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 503-520. doi: 10.1002/qj.746 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.746/abstract
Matsueda, M., 2011: Predictability of Euro-Russian blocking in summer of 2010, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L06801, doi:10.1029/2010GL046557.
Matsueda, M., H. Endo, 2011: Verification of medium-range MJO forecasts with TIGGE. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L11801, doi:10.1029/2011GL047480. http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2011/2011GL047480.shtml
Matsueda, M., M. Kyouda, Z. Toth, H. L. Tanaka, and T. Tsuyuki, 2011: Predictability of an Atmospheric Blocking Event that Occurred on 15 December 2005, Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2455-2470.
Schumacher, Russ S., 2011, Ensemble-Based Analysis of Factors Leading to the Development of a Multiday Warm-Season Heavy Rain Event, Monthly Weather Review, 139 (9), 3016-3035 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-10-05022.1
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Tennant,W.J.,G.J.Shutts,A.Arribas,S.A.Thompson, 2011: Using a Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme to Improve MOGREPS Probabilistic Forecast Skill. MonthlyWeatherReview. Apr2011, Vol. 139 Issue 4, p1190-1206. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3430.1
Waliser,DuaneE.,MitchMoncrieff,DavidBurrridge,AndreasH.Fink,DaveGochis,B.N.Goswami,BinGuan,PatrickHarr,JulianHeming,Huang-HsuingHsu,ChristianJakob,MattJaniga,RichardJohnson,SarahJones,PeterKnippertz,JoseMarengo,HanhNguyen,MickPope,YolandeSerra,ChrisThorncroft,MatthewWheeler,RobertWood,SandraYuter, 2011, The “Year” of Tropical Convection (May 2008 to April 2010): Climate Variability and Weather Highlights,BulletinoftheAmericanMeteorologicalSociety: http://journals.ametsocdx.doi.org/10.1175/2011BAMS3095.1
Tsai,Hsiao-Chung;Lu,Kuo-Chen;Elsberry,RussellL.;Lu,Mong-Ming;Sui,Chung-Hsiung; 2011: Tropical Cyclone--like Vortices Detection in the NCEP 16-Day Ensemble System over the Western North Pacific in 2008: Application and Forecast Evaluation. Weather&Forecasting. Feb2011, Vol. 26 Issue 1, p77-93. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2010WAF2222415.1
Vannitsem,S.,R.Hagedorn, 2011; Ensemble forecast post-processing over Belgium: comparison of deterministic-like and ensemble regression methods. Meteorological Applications, Volume 18, Issue 1, 94–104, March 2011, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/met.217/full
Wiegand,Lars,ArwenTwitchett,CorneliaSchwierz,PeterKnippertz, 2011, Heavy Precipitation at the Alpine South Side and Saharan Dust over Central Europe: A Predictability Study Using TIGGE, WeatherandForecasting, 26, 957–974.doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-10-05060.1
Yamaguchi,Munehiko,DavidS.Nolan,MohamedIskandarani,SharanyaJ.Majumdar,MelindaS.Peng,CarolynA.Reynolds, 2011, Singular Vectors for Tropical Cyclone–Like Vortices in a Nondivergent Barotropic Framework, JournaloftheAtmosphericSciences,68 (10), 2273-2291. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3727.1
2010 (20)
Bougeault,P.,Z.Toth,C.Bishop,B.Brown,D.Burridge,D.Chen, E.Ebert,M.Fuentes,T.Hamill,K.Mylne,J.Nicolau,T.Paccagnella,Y.-Y.Park,D.Parsons, B.Raoult,D.Schuster,P.SilvaDias,R.Swinbank,Y.Takeuchi,W.Tennant,L.WilsonandS.Worley, 2010: The THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). Bull.Amer.Met.Soc., 91, 1059–1072. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010BAMS2853.1
Chen,Shin-Gan,DepartmentofAtmosphericSciences,NationalTaiwanUniversity,Taipei,Taiwan;andS.J.MajumdarandC.C.Wu, 2010: Properties of the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling strategy for tropical cyclones. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_167822.htm
Froude,L.S.R., 2010: TIGGE: Comparison of the prediction of Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones by different ensemble prediction systems. Wea.Forecasting, 25, 819-836. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222326.1
Froude,L.S.R.andR.J.Gurney, 2010: Storm prediction research and its application to the oil/gas industry. In: Troccoli A (ed) Management of Weather and Climate Risk in the Energy Industry, NATOScienceSeries, Springer, 241-252. http://www.nerc-essc.ac.uk/~lsrf/Downloads/NATO.pdf
Hagedorn,R.,R.Buizza,T.M.Hamill,M.Leutbecher,andT.N.Palmer, 2010: Comparing TIGGE multi-model and ECMWF calibrated ensembles. GeophysicalResearchAbstracts, 12, EGU2010-10456. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2010/EGU2010-10456.pdf
Hamill,T.,J.S.WhitakerandS.Benjamin, 2010: Performance of the NOAA FIM global ensemble prediction system for hurricanes during the 2009 season. 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences. http://ams.confex.com/ams/90annual/techprogram/paper_157592.htm
He, Y., F. Wetterhall, H. Bao, H. Cloke, Z. Li, F. Pappenberger, Y. Hu, D. manful Manful, and Y. Huang, 2010: Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July–September July–September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11, 132–138., 11, 132–138. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.270/abstract
Huang,Y.,Z.Li,Y.He,F.Wetterhall,D.Manful,H.Cloke,andF.Pappenberger, 2010: Uncertainty assessment of early flood warning driven by the TIGGE ensemble weather predictions. GeophysicalResearchAbstracts,12, EGU2010-15497. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2010/EGU2010-15497.pdf
Keller,J., 2010: Investigation of predictability during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). 29thConferenceonHurricanesandTropicalMeteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/168784.pdf
JanD.Keller,AndreasHense,LuisKornblueh,AndreasRhodin, 2010, On the Orthogonalization of Bred Vectors, WeatherandForecasting,25(4), 1219-1234, http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF2222334.1
McCaslin,P.,T.Nakazawa,R.SwinbankandZ.Toth, 2010: Improving cyclone warning Case study: Philippines. WMOBulletin, 59(2), 79-81.
Majumdar,SharanyaJ.andPeterM.Finocchio, 2010: On the ability of global Ensemble Prediction Systems to predict tropical cyclone track probabilities. WeatherandForecasting,25, 2, 659-680.http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009WAF2222327.1
Nakazawa, Tetsuo TetsuoandM.Matsueda, 2010: Genesis potential estimation of high-impact weather by TIGGE ensemble data. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_168409.htm
Nakazawa,T.,R.Swinbank,Z.TothandE.Ebert, 2010: THORPEX/TIGGE applications to TC motion and forecasting. 7th 7thInternationalWorkshoponTropicalCyclones(IWTC-VII),LaRéunion,France,15-20November2010. http://www.cawcr.gov.au/projects/iwtc/documentation/SF2a.pdf
Ramos, M.;Zalachori, I.;Mathevet, T.;Loumagne, C., 2010: Using the TIGGE database for ensemble hydrological forecasting: a study on 74 catchments in France.AmericanGeophysicalUnion,FallMeeting2010, abstract #H23A-1166. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2010AGUFM.H23A1166R
Schumacher,RussS., 2010: Predecessor Rain Events ahead of recurving tropical cyclones: Using numerical simulations and ensemble forecasts to quantify the rainfall enhancement. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_169261.htm
Schumacher, R.S., and C.A. Davis, 2010: Ensemble-based uncertainty analysis of diverse heavy rainfall events. Weather and Forecasting, 25(4), 1103-1122of diverse heavy rainfall events. Weather and Forecasting, 25(4), 1103-1122. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010WAF2222378.1
Yamaguchi,M.andS.J.Majumdar, 2010: Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts. Mon.Wea. Rev., 138, 9, 3634-3655. http://dxjournals.doiametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010WAF22223782010MWR3176.1
Yamaguchi, M. and S. J. MajumdarMunehiko, 2010: Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 9, 3634-3655. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3176.1
Yamaguchi, Munehiko, 2010: Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts. 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/divs/mpo/About_MPO/Seminars/2009/Yamaguchi-Abstract.pdf
Zhao, L., H. Wu, D. Qi, F. Tian, J. Di, Q. Duan, and Z. Wang, 2010: Evaluation of probabilistic precipitation forecast using TIGGE data over Huaihe Basin. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 12, EGU2010-15306-1. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2010/EGU2010-15306-1.pdf
2009
Bao, H.; Li, Z.; Yu, Z., 2009: Development of coupled atmospheric-hydrologic-hydraulic flood forecasting system driven by ensemble weather predictions. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, abstract #H51G-0833. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.H51G0833B
Candille, Guillem, 2009: The multiensemble approach: The NAEFS example. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 1655–1665. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2682.1
He, Y., F. Wetterhall, H. L. Cloke, F. Pappenberger, M. Wilson, J. Freer and G. McGregor, 2009: Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions. Meteorol. Appl.. DOI: 10.1002/met. http://www.nmpi.net/wiki/images/3/34/TIGGE_HE_et_al2009.pdf
He, Y.; Manful, D. Y.; Cloke, H. L.; Wetterhall, F.; Li, Z.; Bao, H.; Pappenberger, F.; Wesner, S.; Schubert, L.; Yang, L.; Hu, Y., 2009: Development of web-based services for a novel ensemble flood forecasting and risk assessment system. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, abstract #NH43A-1297. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFMNH43A1297H
Jacobs, C.A. and S.J. Worley, 2009: Data Curation in Climate and Weather: Transforming Our Ability to Improve Predictions through Global Knowledge Sharing. The International Journal of Digital Curation. v.4, 68-79. http://www.ijdc.net/index.php/ijdc/article/viewFile/119/122
Johnson, C. and R. Swinbank, 2009: Medium-range multi-model ensemble combination and calibration, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 135, 777-794. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/122246419/abstract
Earlier version published as Forecasting Research Technical Report, Meteorology R&D Technical Report no. 517, Met Office. pdf
Keller, Julia H. 2010: Investigation of predictability during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology.http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_168784.htm
Krishnamurti, T.N., A. D. Sagadevan, A. Chakraborty, A. K. Mishra and A. Simon, 2009: Improving multimodel weather forecast of monsoon rain over China using FSU superensemble . Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. http://www.springerlink.com/content/h85463j782368381/
Matsueda, M., M. Kyouda, Z. Toth, T. Miyoshi, H. L. Tanaka, and T. Tsuyuki: On the predictability of a blocking occurred on 15th December 2005. Third THORPEX International Science Symposium. 14-18 September 2009, Monterey, USA. http://air.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp/~tanaka/papers/paper225.pdf
Matsueda, M., 2009: Blocking Predictability in Operational Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts, SOLA, 5, 113-116. https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/5/0/5_0_113/_pdf
Matsueda, M., 2009: Comparison of medium-range ensemble forecast skill using the TIGGE database. Fourth Japan-China-Korea Joint Conference on Meteorology. 8-9 November 2009, Tsukuba, Japan. http://wwwsoc.nii.ac.jp/msj/jckjc09/JCKJC09-Abstract_Collection.pdf
Matsueda, M. and H.L. Tanaka, 2008: Can MCGE Outperform the ECMWF Ensemble? SOLA, 4, 77-80. https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/4/0/4_0_77/_pdf
29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/divs/mpo/About_MPO/Seminars/2009/Yamaguchi-Abstract.pdf
Zhao,L.,H.Wu,D.Qi,F.Tian,J.Di,Q.Duan,andZ.Wang, 2010: Evaluation of probabilistic precipitation forecast using TIGGE data over Huaihe Basin. GeophysicalResearchAbstracts, 12, EGU2010-15306-1. http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2010/EGU2010-15306-1.pdf
2009 (13)
Bao, H.;Li, Z.;Yu, Z., 2009: Development of coupled atmospheric-hydrologic-hydraulic flood forecasting system driven by ensemble weather predictions. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2009, abstract #H51G-0833. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.H51G0833B
Candille, Guillem, 2009: The multiensemble approach: The NAEFS example. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 1655–1665. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2682.1
He,Y.,F.Wetterhall,H.L.Cloke,F.Pappenberger,M.Wilson,J.FreerandG.McGregor, 2009: Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions. Meteorol.Appl..DOI: 10.1002/met. http://www.nmpi.net/wiki/images/3/34/TIGGE_HE_et_al2009.pdf
Jacobs,C.A.andS.J.Worley, 2009: Data Curation in Climate and Weather: Transforming Our Ability to Improve Predictions through Global Knowledge Sharing. The International Journal of Digital Curation. v.4, 68-79. http://www.ijdc.net/index.php/ijdc/article/viewFile/119/122
Johnson,C.andR.Swinbank, 2009: Medium-range multi-model ensemble combination and calibration, Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc., 135, 777-794. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/122246419/abstract
Keller,JuliaH. 2010: Investigation of predictability during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology. http://ams.confex.com/ams/29Hurricanes/techprogram/paper_168784.htm
Krishnamurti,T.N.,A. D. Sagadevan,A. Chakraborty,A. K. MishraandA. Simon, 2009: Improving multimodel weather forecast of monsoon rain over China using FSU superensemble . AdvancesinAtmosphericSciences. http://www.springerlink.com/content/h85463j782368381/
Matsueda,M.,M.Kyouda,Z.Toth,T.Miyoshi,H.L.Tanaka,andT.Tsuyuki,2009: On the predictability of a blocking occurred on 15th December 2005. Third THORPEX International Science Symposium. 14-18 September 2009, Monterey, USA. http://air.geo.tsukuba.ac.jp/~tanaka/papers/paper225.pdf
Matsueda, M.andH.L.Tanaka, 2008: Can MCGE Outperform the ECMWF Ensemble? SOLA, 4, 77-80. http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/4/0/4_77/_article
Matsueda,M., 2009: Blocking Predictability in Operational Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts, SOLA, 5, 113-116. http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/5/0/5_113/_article
Matsueda,M., 2009: Comparison of medium-range ensemble forecast skill using the TIGGE database. Fourth Japan-China-Korea Joint Conference on Meteorology. 8-9 November 2009, Tsukuba, Japan. http://wwwsoc.nii.ac.jp/msj/jckjc09/JCKJC09-Abstract_Collection.pdf
Weigel,A.P.,andN.E.Bowler,2009: Comment on ‘Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts?’ QuarterlyJournaloftheRoyalMeteorologicalSociety, Volume 135, Issue 639, pages 535–539, January 2009 Part B. DOI: 10.1002/qj.381http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.381/abstract
Zsoter,E.,R.Buizza,D.Richardson, 2009: “Jumpiness” of the ECMWF and Met Office EPS Control and Ensemble-Mean Forecasts. MonthlyWeatherReview. Nov 2009, Vol. 137 Issue 11, p3823-3836. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2009MWR2960.1
2008 (11)
Bowler,N.E.,A.Arribas,K.R.Mylne, 2008: The Benefits of Multianalysis and Poor Man’s Ensembles. Monthly Weather Review . Nov 2008, Vol. 136 Issue 11, p4113-4129. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/2008MWR2381.1
Buizza,R., 2008: Comparison of a 51-Member Low-Resolution (TL399L62) Ensemble with a 6-Member High-Resolution (TL799L91) Lagged-Forecast Ensemble. Monthly Weather Review . Sep2008, Vol. 136 Issue 9, p3343-3362. http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2008MWR2430.1
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Buizza,R.,Y.-Y.Park,M.Leutbecher,and,F.Pappenberger, 2008: Predictability studies using TIGGE data. ECMWF Newsletter No. 116, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2-9AX, UK. Available from http://www.ecmwf.int/publications/newsletters/chronological_list.html
Pappenberger,F.,J.Bartholmes,J.Thielen,H.L.Cloke,R.Buizza,andA.deRoo, 2008: New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L10404, doi:10.1029/2008GL033837. http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2008/2008GL033837.shtmlAlso published as ECMWF Technical Memorandum No.557 pdf2008/2008GL033837.shtml
Park,Y.-Y.,R.Buizza,andM.Leutbecher, 2008: TIGGE: preliminary results on comparing and combining ensembles. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, 2029-2050 http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal//www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121516300/abstract121516300/abstract
Rabier,F.;Gauthier,P.;Cardinali,C.;Langland,R.;Tsyrulnikov,M.;Lorenc,A.;Steinle,P.;Gelaro,R.;Koizumi,K., 2008: An update on THORPEX-related research in data assimilation and observing strategies. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics . 2008, Vol. 15 Issue 1, p81-94.Also published as ECMWF Technical Memorandum No. 548 pdf
Rutledge, G. K.;Schuster, D.;Worley, S.;Stepaniak, D.;Toth, Z.;Zhu, Y.;Bougeault, P.;Anthony, S. 2008: Archive Access to the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) Suite of Model Output. American Geophysical Union, Spring Meeting 2008, abstract #IN41A-04. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUSMIN41A..04R
Thielen, J.;Pappenberger, F.;Bartholmes, J.;Kalas, M.;Bogner, K.;de Roo, A., 2008: Flood Forecasting Based on Multiple EPS -- is it Worth the Effort? American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2008, abstract #H53H-03. http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2008AGUFM.H53H..03T
Titley,H.,N.Savage, ,R.SwinbankandS.Thompson, 2008: Comparison between Met Office and ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecast systems, Meteorology R&D Technical Report no. 512, Met Office.
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Froude,L.S.R.,L.Bengtsson,K.I.Hodges, 2007: The Prediction of Extratropical Storm Tracks by the ECMWF and NCEP Ensemble Prediction Systems. Monthly Weather Review . Jul2007, Vol. 135 Issue 7, p2545-2567. 23p. http://
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Matsueda, M., M. Kyouda, H.L. Tanaka and T. Tsuyuki, 2007: Daily Forecast Skill of Multi-Center Grand Ensemble. SOLA,3, 29-32. httpshttp://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/3/0/3_0_29/_pdf
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Swinbank,R.,H.Watkin,C.JohnsonandS.Thompson, 2007: Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts at the Met Office. http://www.wcrp-climate.org/WGNE/BlueBook/2007/individual-articles/06_Swinbank_Richard_WGNE_THORPEX_ensembles.pdf
2006 (1)
Matsueda,M.,M.Kyouda,H.L.TanakaandT.Tsuyuki, 2006: Multi-Center Grand Ensemble using Three Operational Ensemble Forecasts.SOLA, 2, 33-36 https http://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/2/0/2_33/_articlehttp://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/2/0/2_33/_pdfarticle
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Richardson,D.,R.,BuizzaandR.Hagedorn, 2005: Final report of the 1st Workshop on the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE). WMO TD No. 1273, WWRP-THORPEX No. 5 http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/new/documents/TIGGEFirstWorkshopReport.pdf