...
The plots below show the position of the cyclone in all ensemble members at 14 March 18UTC and the track from +/-12 hours. The colour of the symbol indicates the depth of the cyclone. the analysis included in red and ECMWF HRES in green. The left plots show ECMWF forecasts, middle from NCEP and right from NCEPUKMO. The ECMWF forecast had a clear majority of the members to the east of the analysis track for all three initial times. The NCEP forecast from 11 March 00z had the members more to the west but was shifted again to the east in the forecast from 12 March 00z.
+66h (12 March 00z)
+90h (11 March 00z)
+114h (10 March 00z)
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
...