Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/02/10/sc/
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/02/12/sc/
1. Impact
On the 12 February a storm hit Ireland, Wales and western England.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-26166796
2. Description of the event
Satellite images from yr.no
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3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
Dalmatian plots for wind speed |
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Dalmatian plots for maximum wind speed at ~1km around a cyclonic feature.
EFI for wind gusts |
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Extreme index forecasts for maximum wind gusts valid on the 12 February.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases