Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
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1. Impact
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show 24-hour accumulated precipitation for 14 March and the MSLP valid 12z the same day from HRES with different initial times.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI and SOT for precipitation for 14 March.
The plot below shows the evolution of 24-hour precipitation forecasts for New York City for ENS (box-and-whisker) and HRES (red dot) and the model climate (red box-and-whisker).
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
The plots below show 24-hour precipitation for 14 March and MSLP valid 12z from ECMWF (left) and NCEP (middle) and UKMO (right).
+24h
+36h
+48h
+60h
+72h
+84h
+96h
+108h
+120h
4. Experience from general performance/other cases