Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: David L. , Linus
Picture
1. Impact
Livorno, Italy, experienced heavy rainfall on Sunday 10th September 2017 resulting in six fatalities; a BBC article giving more details is available here. The rainfall predominantly fell between midnight and 2am on Sunday
2. Description of the event
The plot below shows the z500 and t850 analysis from 10 September 00z.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show the 24-hour precipitation between 9 September 06z and 10 September 06z from observations (first plot) and HRES forecasts.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI for precipitation valid 10 September.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases