Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Tim
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1. Impact
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show the 24-hour maximum wind gusts for 16 October and the MSLP valid at 12UTC on 16 October from HRES forecasts. The first plot shows observations of 24-hour maximum wind gusts.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the tropical cyclone product for Ophelia.
The plot below shows the evolution of the forecasts for 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 16 October in Cork.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases