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The Weather-Induced Extremes Digital Twin - sharpening the prediction of extreme weather and its impacts

The DestinE Digital Twin for Weather-Induced Extremes (Extremes DT) supports  decision-making in response to meteorological, hydrological and air quality extremes. It currently comprises a global component, producing simulations at resolutions of a few kilometres up to four days ahead. An on-demand regional component (On-Demand ExtremesDT) will follow latter in Phase 2, producing simulations at hundreds of metres up to two days ahead. This regional component will be able to be configured and activated on demand, enabling zooming in on extreme events happening in Europe. Several impact sector models for floods, air-quality and renewable energy will be added. 

Simulations 

Note that 4-day forecasts can only be retrieved for start dates 15 days behind the current date. It can take up to 2 days for data from the current day's forecast to become available.

Global model output from the IFS-NEMO model is available and details are listed in the table below.

daily global simulations: The global component of the Extremes DT provides daily initialised four-day global forecasts with a resolution of a few kilometres (4.4 km) using the IFS.

regional on demand simulations: This capability will become available later in phase 2.


Type of simulationModelavailable
Daily global forecastIFS-NEMOdate: 15 days before current date (YYYYMMDD)
time: 0000 UTC

For more technical details related to the simulation, please see here.

Data availability

Model output can be retrieved using the polytope service via the DestinE Service Platform, with examples on usage here.

Data is provided on an octahedral reduced Gaussian grid.

Data is provided on various levtype values, for different parameters. See the expandable tree below or the DestinE ExtremesDT Parameters page for more information.
The levtype values are as follows:

  • hl : Height level field. The key levelist is used to specify the level in metres (e.g. 100). For parameters at height > 10m.
  • pl : Pressure level field. The key levelist is used to specify the level in hPa (e.g. 1000).
  • sfc : 2D atmospheric surface field. Note that this can be the earth surface, or other 2D levels such as at 2 metres or total column integrations.

For example, retrieve global forecast data, parameters "Surface pressure" (param 134) and "2 metre temperature" (param 167), for the forecast initialized on 10 April 2024 at 00Z and for hourly lead times from 0 to 6 hours :

request = {
    'class': 'd1',
    'dataset': 'extremes-dt',
    'expver': '0001',
    'stream': 'oper', 
    'type': 'fc',
    'date': '20240410',
    'time': '0000',
    'step': '0/1/2/3/4/5/6', 
    'levtype': 'sfc',
    'param': '134/167'
}

Modifying the request can then be performed based on the following structure of the available data (click the tree to unfold additional sections):

228246 (100 metre U wind component [m s-1])
228247 (100 metre V wind component [m s-1])

129 (Geopotential [m2 s-2])
130 (Temperature [K])
131 (U component of wind [m s-1])
132 (V component of wind [m s-1])
133 (Specific humidity [kg kg-1])
157 (Relative humidity [%])

31 (Sea ice area fraction [(0 - 1)])
34 (Sea surface temperature [K])
78 (Total column cloud liquid water [kg m-2])
134 (Surface pressure [Pa])
136 (Total column water [kg m-2])
137 (Total column vertically-integrated water vapour [kg m-2])
151 (Mean sea level pressure [Pa])
165 (10 metre U wind component [m s-1])
166 (10 metre V wind component [m s-1])
167 (2 metre temperature [K])
168 (2 metre dewpoint temperature [K])
3020 (Visibility [m])
228029 (Instantaneous 10 metre wind gust [m s-1])
228050 (Instantaneous total lightning flash density [km-2 day-1])
228218 (Convective rain rate [kg m-2 s-1])
228219 (Large scale rain rate [kg m-2 s-1])
228221 (Large scale snowfall rate water equivalent [kg m-2 s-1])
228235 (Most-unstable CAPE [J kg-1])
260015 (Precipitation type [(Code table 4.201)])

142 (Large-scale precipitation [m])
144 (Snowfall [m of water equivalent])
169 (Surface short-wave (solar) radiation downwards [J m-2])
175 (Surface long-wave (thermal) radiation downwards [J m-2])
176 (Surface net short-wave (solar) radiation [J m-2])
177 (Surface net long-wave (thermal) radiation [J m-2])
178 (Top net short-wave (solar) radiation [J m-2])
179 (Top net long-wave (thermal) radiation [J m-2])
180 (Time-integrated eastward turbulent surface stress [N m-2 s])
181 (Time-integrated northward turbulent surface stress [N m-2 s])
205 (Runoff [m])
228 (Total precipitation [m])
228216 (Accumulated freezing rain [m])

228058 (Averaged total lightning flash density in the last 6 hours [km-2 day-1])

140221 (Mean zero-crossing wave period [s])
140229 (Significant height of combined wind waves and swell [m])
140230 (Mean wave direction [Degree true])
140231 (Peak wave period [s])
140232 (Mean wave period [s])
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