Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
1. Impact
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Beryl
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the tropical cyclone track for TC Beryl for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 1 July 00UTC (first plot) to 26 June 00UTC (last plot). The symbols shows the position on 1 July 00UTC (hourglass for BestTrack). HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black). DestinE4.4 is included in purple.
The plots below show the same as above but of 49r1 e-suite.
The plots below show the tropical cyclone intensity (central pressure - top, maximum wind -bottom) for TC Beryl for the operational ECMWF forecasts from 1 July 00UTC (first plot) to 26 June 00UTC (last plot). HRES (red), ENS CF (blue), ENS PF (grey) and BestTrack (black). DestinE4.4 is included in purple.
The plots below show the same as above but of 49r1 e-suite.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event