Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Ervin
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2016/04/18/sc/
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2016/04/19/sc/
Picture
1. Impact
On 16 to 19 April Texas was hit by heavy rainfall and 5 people believed to be dead at least. It seems to be a historical event with the ~450 mm (17.6 inch) rain that fell near Houston. See e.g. this BBC link.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-36079009
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases