Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
1. Impact
During the last weekend of January massive precipitation hit southern Europe. Several cities in northern Italy were flooded (e.g. Pisa) and Croatia and Serbia experienced severe snowfall.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-25992800
2. Description of the event
MSLP and percipitation from 12-hour forecasts |
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3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
Precipitation verification and HRES forecast |
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3.3 ENS
EFI from 29 Jan 00UTC for 31 Jan to 5 Feb (day 1-5). We should produce the same to for the day before.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
Weekly precipitation anomalies |
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3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases
5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
6. Additional material