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The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6-hour forecasts of precipitation from 29 January 12UTC to 31 January 00UTC, every 12 hour. The cyclone was a large-scale feature with the centre moving from Iceland, via the central Norway to the northern Baltic. The strongest wind gusts were over Scotland, southern Norway, Denmark, northern Germany, southern Sweden. Later the eastern part of Sweden (around Stockholm) was hit.
Information about observations in Sweden: https://www.smhi.se/bloggar/vaderleken-2-3336/malik-arets-forsta-namngivna-storm-1.179810 (in Swedish)
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Good medium-range prediction