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The plots below show observations from SYNOP (first plot) and HRES forecasts of 24-hour maximum wind gusts valid 29 January 12UTC - 30 January 12UTC, from different initial dates (all 00UTC except the first forecast plot). There is a sign that the gusts were underestimated over Denamk and northern Germany on the short-range forecasts.

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3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI for 1-day maximum wind gusts for 29 January, from different initial times. A strong signal for extreme winds were picked up on 24 January, 5-6 days in advance.

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