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| Excerpt |
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Between13-16 May 2014, severe rainfall hit south-eastern Europe. The worst affected countries were Serbia and Bosnia - Herzegovina where the rain is said to be the worst for 120 years. Currently more than 35 45 people have died in land-slides and the flooding following the rain. Heavy rainfall and strong winds also affected Austria, Slovakia and other neighbouring countries. |
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| Loznica | Beograd | Valjevo | Tuzla | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May | 50 | 21 | 38 | 49 |
| 15 May | 110 | 108 | 108 | 95 |
| 16 May | 53 | 45 | 44 | 90 |
| 17 May | 6 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 18 May | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
The map below shows the SYNOP stations in the area, with the 4 stations above in a circles. The rektangular area marked in the figure is 44-45N, 18-20E, which will be used in the evaluation below.
The figure below (top, left) shows the 5-day accumulation (13-18 May 00UTC). For the climatology of 5-day accumulations (bottom, left) unfortunately no station appears over Serbia but I found some stations in Austria, Slovakia, Poland and Romania where 5-day totals exceeded 99th percentiles of the 15-year observed climate. On the plot below you can see two examples.
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Discussion in Daily Repot about the calculation of EFI (http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/05/20/sc/)