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The plots above show the EFI for 14 May (the day with the heaviest precipitation in Serbia) from different initial times.
The figure above show the CDF for Beograd, valid the 14 may. The observed precipitation for that day (0-0 UTC) was 112.6 mm (station 13274). The last forecast was more extreme than the earlier, but still underestimated the rain.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The figure below show the analysis of weekly precipitation anomalies for 12-18 May and all Thursday forecasts.
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