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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Storm_Daniel

From MedCyclones: https://medcyclones.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/MedCyclone_Daniel_v2.pdf

2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6 hour rainfall from 2 September 00UTC to 7 September 00UTC, every 12th hour.

In absence of precipitation observations in the region on GTS, the plot below shows a map constructed from media reports.

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The plot below shows the same as above but for 4.4km DestinE forecasts.

3.3 ENS

The plots below shows EFI and SOT for 3-day precipitation (10 September 00UTC - 3 September 00UTC)  from different initial dates.

The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 72-hour precipitation (10 September 00UTC - 13 September 00UTC) for land points inside a 0.5x0.5 box  centred on Darna in Libya. Concatenated 6-hour forecasts - green dot, ENS control –red,  Destine4.4 - purple, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – cyan box-and-whisker. Ensemble mean as black diamonds. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1800 forecasts.


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3.4 Monthly forecasts

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