...
The plots below show 24-hour precipitation(2 November 00UTC - 3 November 00UTC) in observations (first plot) concatenated short forecasts (second plot) and ENS control forecasts with different lead times, focus on Tuscany, Italy. The observation plot will be updated once we have the HDOBS from Italy. While the orographic precipitation along the coast was captured to some degree, the forecasts missed the precipitation due to a convective system crossing the peninsula.
The plot below shows the same forecasts as above but for DestinE4.4km runs.
...