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In the end of October 2014 heavy rainfall affected south-western Norway and caused the worst flooding in the area since 1892.The worst affected area was inland Bergen and around Voss.


Photos and a video showing the effects of the flooding can be found on the Norwegian television homepage: http://www.nrk.no/sognogfjordane/forti-husstandar-i-flam-kan-snart-fa-flytte-heim-1.12015077 (you can find the video if you scroll down)


2. Description of the event

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3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

Results focusing on 27 October 18z to 28 October 18z (24-hour)

The plot below shows the observations from the period

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titleHRES (24-hour)


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titleCF (24-hour)

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titleNCEP CF (24-hour)


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titleDMI Hirlam CF 5.5km (24-hour)


The plot below shows a forecast run initialised 27 Oct 00z with TC1279 (8km) resolution and cycle 41r1.

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3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI and SOT for precipitation over the period 26-28 October, from different initial times. Already the forecast from 20 October had increased EFI values for the actual period.

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