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Gallery includeLabel efi_wg_sat sort comment title EFI wind gusts Saturday
Return period forecasts
The plots below shows probabilistic forecasts and verification of a binary event defined as exceeding 2-year return period for 24-hour maximum wind gusts.
First plot: 8 January 06z - 9 January 06z. Second plot: 9 January 06z - 10 January 06z.
Regime forecasts
The plot below shows a 2-d plot of projections into regime 1 (NAO+) and regime 2 (Scandinavian blocking), where each plot represents an analysis at 00z and the last point (lower right) the the 11 January. On 9-10 January the projection was very strong on positive NAO.
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Gallery includeLabel ws_10_prob25_ecmf_fri sort comment title Prob ws>25 m/s ECMWF Friday
Gallery includeLabel ws_10_prob25_kwbc_fri sort comment title Prob ws>25 m/s NCEP Friday
Gallery includeLabel ws_10_prob25_egrr_fri sort comment title Prob ws>25 m/s UKMO Friday
The plots below are the same as above but for 10 January.
Gallery includeLabel ws_10_prob25_ecmf sort comment title Prob ws>25 m/s ECMWF
Gallery includeLabel ws_10_prob25_kwbc sort comment title Prob ws>25 m/s NCEP
Gallery includeLabel ws_10_prob25_egrr sort comment title Prob ws>25 m/s UKMO
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