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Finalised Material from: Linus, Mohamed, Fernando, Tim

 

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

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  • Early signal for transition to strong positive NAO
  • Good predictability for the Friday storm over Scotland
  • More problems for Saturday storms


6. Additional material

  • Presentation from Fernando FD/RD March 2015 about the 10-metre wind difference in HRES and CF during Elon.


Obs/Fc scatter plot


The figure below shows the scatter plot of observations and short forecasts of 24-hour maximum wind gusts for 9 January (blue), 10 January (red) and 11 January (green). Tim found that there is a maximum in the SYNOP code (99 knot) for wind gusts, which seems to have been hit by 6 stations during this event.

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