...
| Show If | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
|
1. Overview
In the beginning of February, Queensland (Australia) was hit by extreme rainfall. At least two people died, thousands had to be evacuated, large areas of land flooded, etc. See for example this article: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-02-04/north-queensland-flooding-townsville-rainfall-flood-peak/104893294. Here, they also mention the highest observed precip totals, topping with 1936 mm in just 3 days in the coastal area just north from Townsville.
...
The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6 hour rainfall from 30 January 00UTC to 3 January 00UTC, every 12th hour.
2.3 Observations
24-hour and 168-hour gridded observations in Queensland (roughly 2 Feb calendar day and added the 6 pervious days).
2.4 Climatological perspective
...
6.1 Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Wet signal present in sub-seasonal forecast (combination of La Niña and MJO?)
- AIFS v1.0 better in magnitude and early signal
6.2 Experience from general performance/other cases
...