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 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cp3j2w41qkko

2. Analyses and Observations

2.1 Event Definition

The evaluation of the rainfall will focus on 72-hour rainfall on 31 January 00UTC  - 3 February  00UTC for the box 18.25S-19.25S, 145.8E -146.8 (see maps below for outline).

2.2 Analyses

The plots below show analyses of MSLP and 6 hour rainfall from 30 January 00UTC to 3 January February 00UTC, every 12th hour.

2.3 Observations

24-hour and 168-hour gridded observations in Queensland (roughly 2 Feb calendar day and added the 6 pervious days).

2.4 Climatological perspective

3. Forecasts

3.1 Data assimilation and observation usage

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Observations an analysis for the event

Control forecast

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DestinE

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AIFS single v0.2.1

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AIFS single v1.0

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AIFS ensemble

3.3 Ensemble distribution

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