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Discussed in the following Daily reports: http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2016/09/26/sc/ http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2016/09/28/sc/ http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2016/09/29/sc/ |
1. Impact
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-37570409
2. Description of the event
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
The plots below show the observation statistics for temperature (left) and wind vector (middle) from dropsondes and surface pressure observations (right).
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2 October 00z
2 October 12z
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the forecast of tropical cyclone activity for 3-5 October, for forecasts with 1 day apart.
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