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spacePermissionINTRA

Discussed in the following Daily reports:


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1. Impact

On 18 December northern U.S experienced extreme cold temperatures.

2. Description of the event

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The plot below shows temperature observations from around Minneapolis for 18 December 12z from www.ogimet.com .


3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

The plot below shows 2-metre temperature for Minneapolis from observations (black), HRES (red) and Control forecast (blue) from 17 December 00z (solid) and 18 December 00z (dashed).

 2-metre temperature for Minneapolis from observations (black), HRES (red) for the forecast from 12 December.

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The plot below shows temperature diagnostics for Minneapolis.

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The plot below shows a vertical temperature profile for Minneapolis for 18 Dec+12h.





3.3 ENS

The plot below shows the evolution of 2-metre temperature forecasts for Minneapolis on 18 December 12z for ENS (blue) and HRES (red), with the model climate in red.

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The plots below show the EFI and SOT for 2-metre temperature on 18 December.

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