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Status:
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Finalised Material from: Linus, Trond Iversen and Ole Vignes (met.no)
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/10/29/sc/
Picture
1. Impact
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In the end of October 2014 heavy rainfall affected south-western Norway and caused the worst flooding in the area for more than hundred years.The worst affected area was inland Bergen and around Voss. In the valley around Flåm many houses fell down in the stream as the river eroded its banks. |
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Gallery includeLabel g7dr_24 sort comment title cy41r1 TC1279 (8 km) 24-hour precipitation
The plot below shows the 2.8 km AROME model from met.no/SMHI, initialised on the 27 Oct 12z (provided by Lisa Bengtsson, SMHI). Here the details in the topography is event clearer.
The plot below shows the 2.8 km AROME model from met.no/SMHI, initialised on the 27 Oct 00z and accumulated between 27 Oct 18z to 28 Oct 18z (provided by Ole Vignes/met.no).
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Gallery includeLabel mnth_w1 sort comment title Weekly anomalies 20-26 October
The plot below shows the precipitation anomaly for 24-30 October from the forecast issued 6 October. The forecast has a wet anomaly for western Norway.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
See section 3.2 and 3.3.
3.6 EFAS
The plots below shows hydrographs (in terms of return periods) for the outflow from Vangsvatnet (60.63N, 628E). The red line is for the ECMWF HRES and the blue for COSMO-EU from DWD (8 km resolution). The COSMO-EU had a much stronger signal than both ECMWF HRES and ENS for this river.
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