Status:Ongoing analysis Material Status: Finalised Material from: Esti, Linus
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Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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1. Impact
Parts of Europe have recorded less than 10% of their rain so far in April , some places have seen no rain at all (i.e. Germany). Meanwhile, Catalonia has recorded ~500% of their monthly rain. All stations in Barcelona have already exceeded 400mm since January 1st (almost 500mm in the upper areas of the city) and the average annual rainfall is around 600mm.
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2. Description of the event
OBSERVATIONS:
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
CDFs for ENS and ecPoint-12 rainfall for different runs and EFI 24h precipitation for different runs and comparison between 46r1 ans 47r1:
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plot below show weekly precipitation for 20-26 April in the verification and extended-range forecasts initialised at different times.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
6. Additional material
OBSERVATIONS:
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