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Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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1. Impact
On 29-30 January the cyclone Malik passed the northern European, affecting several countries along its path from UK in the west to the Baltic States in the east. In UK 2 people were killed by falling trees (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-60188454). The cyclone was followed on 30 January by storm Corrie that hit Scotland.
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The plots below show observations from SYNOP (first plot) and HRES forecasts of 24-hour maximum wind gusts valid 29 January 12UTC - 30 January 12UTC, from different initial dates (all 00UTC except the first forecast plot). There is a sign that the gusts were underestimated over Denamk and northern Germany on the short-range forecasts.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI for 1-day maximum wind gusts for 29 January, from different initial times. A strong signal for extreme winds were picked up on 24 January, 5-6 days in advance.
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