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http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/05/15/sc/
http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/05/16/sc/
1. Impact
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Starting on the |
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13 May 2014, severe rainfall hit south-eastern Europe. The event continued until the 16 May. The worst affected countries were Serbia and Bosnia - Herzegovina. Currently more than 30 people have died in land-slides and the flooding following the rain. Heavy rainfall and strong winds also affected Austria, Slovakia and other neighbouring countries. |
recent period had already been wet and the ground was more or less saturates. On 18 May, the Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia requested assistance through the EU Civil Protection Mechanism. Serbia declared a state of emergency on Thur 15 May.
The is a list of new items on the event:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/05/15/us-balkans-flood-idUSBREA4E0PA20140515
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Warnings on Meteoalarm for the 14 and 15 May. Red warnings where issued for rainfall in Serbia, Bosnia - Herzegovina, Austria and Slovakia.
2. Description of the event
The figures below show the analyses of t850 and z500 (00UTC). The rainfall was caused by a cut-off low situated over south-east Europe, bringing moist winds from east, hitting the mountains on Balkan.
Gallery includeLabel z500_an sort name title z500 and t850 analyses
The month before the event had been wet and the ground was already saturated in the area, as seen in the figures below.
Gallery includeLabel soil_an sort comment title Soil moisture level 1,2,3 analysis
Radar sequence from the Romanian Met Service for part of 14 May, snowing the persistent rainfall over Serbia and parts of Romania.
The figures above show the observed precipiation precipitation for the 14 and 15 May (06-06) and a HRES forecast.
The table below shows the observed precipitation for Loznica (13262, 44.3N, 19.1N), Beograd (13274, 44.9N, 20.3E) and Valjevo (13269, 44.2N, 19.5E). The precipitation is the 24-hour observed at 06UTC. The total for the 5-day period was for Loznica 219 mm, Beograd 190 mm and Valjevo 199 mm.
| Loznica | Beograd | Valjevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 May | 50 | 21 | 38 |
| 15 May | 110 | 108 | 108 |
| 16 May | 53 | 45 | 44 |
| 17 May | 6 | 16 | 3 |
The connection to the system giving all the rain, high wind gusts where measured, especially in the Slovakian mountains.
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